Prof. Dr. Tobias Rötheli

tobias.roetheli@uni-erfurt.de

Inhaber der Professur für Makroökonomie, insb. Geld- und Währungstheorie (Staatswissenschaftliche Fakultät)

Kontakt

Lehrgebäude 1 / Raum 0107

+49 361 737-4539

Sprechzeiten

nach Vereinbarung per Mail über das Sekretariat (susann.storz@uni-erfurt.de)

Besucheranschrift

Campus
Nordhäuser Str. 63
99089 Erfurt

Postanschrift

Universität Erfurt
Staatswissenschaftliche Fakultät
Makroökonomie
Postfach 90 02 21
99105 Erfurt

Prof. Dr. Tobias Rötheli

Curriculum Vitae

Lebenslauf

Akademische Grade

1982 Lic.rer.pol., Universität Bern

1986 Dr.rer.pol., Universität Bern

1994 Venia Docendi, Universität Bern

Aktuelle und frühere Positionen

1982 - 1985 Assistent, Volkswirtschaftliches Institut der Universität Bern (Prof. J. Niehans)

1986 - 1987 Forschungsökonom, Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung der Schweizerischen Nationalbank

1987 - 1988 Visiting Scholar, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

1988 - 1990 Forschungsökonom und wissenschaftlicher Redakteur bei der Schweizerischen Nationalbank

1990 - 1992 Visiting Scholar, Harvard University

1992 - 1993 Visiting Scholar, Stanford University

1994 - 2000 Privatdozent, Universität Bern

2000 -          Professor für Makroökonomie, Universität Erfurt

 

Zugehörigkeit zu Berufsvereinigungen

 American Economic Association (AEA)

Society for the Advancement of Behavioral Economics (SABE)

Publikationen

Ausgewählte Artikel

2019: Heuristics versus econometrics as a basis for forecasting international inflation differentials. Foresight, 21/2, 216-226.

2018: Should business rely on business cycle forecasting?, Central European Journal of Operations Research, 26, 121-133, (full text).

2017: Generalization of information, Granger causality and forecasting, Foresight, 604-614 (full text

2013: Innovations in Banking Practices and the Credit Boom of the 1920s, Business History Review 87 (Summer issue): 309–327 (full text). 

2012: Boundedly Rational Banks’ Contribution to the Credit Cycle. Journal of Socio-Economics, 41/5, 730-737 (full text).

2012: Oligopolistic Banks, Bounded Rationality, and the Credit Cycle. Economics Research International, Volume 2012, Article ID 961316(full text).

2012: Output Growth and Output Variability: Quantifying Connections and Tradeoffs. Jahrbuch für Wirtschaftswissenschaft, 63/1, 1-17 (full text).

2011: Pattern-Based Expectations: International Experimental Evidence and Applications in Financial Economics. Review of Economics and Statistics, 93/4, 1319-1330 (full text).

2011: The Superiority of Monetary over Barter Exchange: Experimental Results and Policy Implications. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 58/4, 437-454 (abstract).

2011: The Kuznets Curve: Determinants of its Shape and the Role of Finance. Studies in Economics and Finance, 28/2, 149-159 (full text).

2010: Causes of the Financial Crisis: Risk Misperception, Policy Mistakes, and Banks' Bounded Rationality. Journal of Socio-Economics, 39/2, 119-126 (full text).

2010: The Financial Crisis: Economic and Psychological Perspectives. Zusammen mit David Leiser, Journal of Socio-Economics, 39/2, 117-118.

2008: Estimation of Evolutionary Models as a Tool for Research in Industrial Organization. Journal of Socio-Economics, 37, 138-148 (abstract).

2007: Business Forecasting and the Development of Business Cycle Theory. History of Political Economy, 39/3 (full text).

2006: Elements of Behavioral Monetary Economics. In “Handbook of Contemporary Behavioral Economics: Foundations and Developments” edited by Morris Altman, M. E. Sharpe Publishers (full text).

2005: The Illusion of Over-Optimism in Survey Data: The Case of Manufacturers' Selling Prices. Journal of Socio-Economics, 34, 151-159 (abstract).

2005: Applied Welfare Economics with Bounded Rationality: Public Policies toward Remote Sensing. International Advances in Economic Research, 11/1, 39-47 (full text).

2004: Banks' Default Forecasts: Do They Smooth or Amplify Industry Lending Cycles? RISEC, International Review of Economics and Business, 51/4 (full text).

2004: Bandwagon Effects and Run Patterns in Exchange Rates once More. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 14, 99-104 (abstract).

2002: Bandwagon Effects and Run Patterns in Exchange Rates. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money 12, 157 - 166 (full text).

2001: Acquisition of Costly Information: An Experimental Study. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 46/2 (full text).

2001: Competition, Herd Behavior, and Credit Cycles: Evidence from Major Swiss Banks. Journal of Economics and Business, 53/6 (full text).

1999: Selling Price and Profits: what Survey Data tell about Firms Rationality. Managerial and Decision Economics, 20/6 (full text).

1999: Producers' Expectations: Their Role in the Monetary Transmission Mechanism. Kyklos, 53/1 (full text).

1999: Assessing Monetary Targeting with Models of Expectations Formation. Journal of Policy Modeling, 21/1 (full text).

1998: Bank Credit and Equipment Investment in Switzerland. RISEC, International Review of Economics and Business, 45/4.

1998: Pattern Recognition and Procedurally Rational Expectations. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 37/1 (full text).

1998: Forecasting Among Alternative Strategies in the Management of Uncertainty. Managerial and Decision Economics, 19/3.

1997: Schätzt die schweizerische Industrie die Entwicklung ihrer Exportpreise richtig ein? Aussenwirtschaft, 52/4.

1996: Price and Output Effects of Heterogeneous Expectations. Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, 132/2 (full text).

1995: International Investment and Exchange Rate Risk: An Experimental Analysis. Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, 216/3 (full text).

1995: Expectations about Change in Market Structure and Natural Resource Extraction. Journal of Economics, 62/2 (full text).

1993: Exogenes und Endogenes Wachstum: Ein Streifzug. Jahrbuch für Sozialwissenschaft, 44/1 (full text).

1991: Money and the Tobin q: Investment Dynamics in the Small Open Economy. Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, 208/2 (full text).

1990: A Money Market and Credit Market Model of the Determination of the Interest Rate and the Price Level. Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, 126/4 (full text).

1990: Money Supply and Money Demand Determinants of Swiss Inflation. Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, 126/1.

1988: Ziele und Grundlagen der schweizerischen Geldpolitik. In O. Clauser, P. Mooslechner und G. Pegoretti, Hrsg., Finanz-, Industrie und Währung in Italien und im deutschsprachigen Raum, Duncker & Humblot, Berlin (full text).

1988: Money Demand and Inflation in Switzerland: An Application of the Pascal-Lag Technique. Review of the Federal Reserve Bank of St.  Louis, 70/3 (full text).